Speculation about remaining life of Superliners

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That is unfortunate but not surprising. I may have missed something, but is it a given that they are going bi level or did you just mean replacement of the bi levels?
The RFP requires the responses to be for bi-level based on the document that we have seen here earlier.
 
I just heard Stephen Gardner say at the Tucson RPA meeting that they do not expect to get the first delivery of bi-level equipment before the early ‘30s.
Wow so if it’s 2034 that’s 10 years + or - best case. What’s the plan to keep the system intact til then? Has he broached that subject or is that the elephant in the room?
 
Wow so if it’s 2034 that’s 10 years + or - best case. What’s the plan to keep the system intact til then? Has he broached that subject or is that the elephant in the room?
Early '30s starts at 2030. No need to take the most pessimistic narrative. Actually this is not new. The original timeline said the same thing as it appears in the RFP plan. 6 years to deployment is not completely off the scale for something that is far from off the shelf. It took Brightline a bit over 4 years to get their initial delivery. Of course no one noticed because their track was not quite ready yet, which again was as they planned since they knew they would have to do extensive testing to get FRA approval. And those cars were about as off the shelf as one can get. Standard European cars mapped to modified Tier I with CEM.

My understanding is that they have a concrete plan to keep the current fleet operational for at least10 years.
 
As in making new superliners with concrete? Because genuinely how are the superliners meant to last another 10 years? Are we stuck with shortened consists till then?
If new single level cars are available sooner, they could temporarily convert additional Superliner trains to single level, as they did with the Capitol.
 
I don't know for sure...but new coaches are coming now, and if I understand correctly, there are a surplus of Viewliner sleepers, so why not convert say, the CONO to single level to free up more Superliner's for the transcon trains? Maybe the Texas Eagle, as well?
Are you referring to the Venture/Airos that will replace the Horizons and Amfleets? The Horizons and Amfleet 1s are set up for corridor service, not long-distance service. limited seat pitch and recline. While one could certainly survive a 30 hour trip in one, it wouldn't be ideal. Of course, Amtrak could refurbish the interiors for long-distance service, but that would cost money and require a complicated procurement process, too. And the Amfleet 1s are close to 50 years old, the Horizons aren't much younger.
 
Are you referring to the Venture/Airos that will replace the Horizons and Amfleets? The Horizons and Amfleet 1s are set up for corridor service, not long-distance service. limited seat pitch and recline. While one could certainly survive a 30 hour trip in one, it wouldn't be ideal. Of course, Amtrak could refurbish the interiors for long-distance service, but that would cost money and require a complicated procurement process, too. And the Amfleet 1s are close to 50 years old, the Horizons aren't much younger.
Aren’t some of those Venture/Airos slated to replace the long-distance Amfleet II’s?
If so, they would be configured for long distance service. And when you look at a 50 year old Amfleet car, their Budd built construction should be good to last another 10 - 20 years. Just look how well the older VIA Rail Budd cars are holding up at age 70.😉
 
Aren’t some of those Venture/Airos slated to replace the long-distance Amfleet II’s?
If so, they would be configured for long distance service. And when you look at a 50 year old Amfleet car, their Budd built construction should be good to last another 10 - 20 years. Just look how well the older VIA Rail Budd cars are holding up at age 70.😉
Not the current order. Those are all Amfleet I replacements. There could be a future order using options attached with thee Airo order for additional cars - some 450 or so, variously furnished, to replace the Amfleet IIs, but that is likely to come after the Bi-level order is in process (not delivered, but in process i.e. the order is placed and in progress).
 
If new single level cars are available sooner, they could temporarily convert additional Superliner trains to single level, as they did with the Capitol.
I know what you meant, but I had this image of "converting" Superliner trains to single level by running them through a few east coast tunnels...
 
As in making new superliners with concrete? Because genuinely how are the superliners meant to last another 10 years? Are we stuck with shortened consists till then?
Do you have any credible documentation to support your conjecture that the Superliners cannot be kept alive for another ten years?

Of course there is the possibility that a massive number of them suddenly go irretrievably off line du to a series of serious accidents involving them. But absent that there is no reason to believe that trains would get shorter and indeed some will recover a bit of length as the last of the repair back orders come back on line over FY25.

Anyhow, I do think that it would have been better to get a tranche of essentially off the shelf "Surfliner"-like cars furnished appropriately for LD to back fill the Superliners that have disappeared from the original order while they worked on designing new next gen rolling stock. But apparently that would no longer be legal or something like that.
 
Is that something that's likely or even possible?
They'll have spare dinning cars and sleepers so its then about LD coaches.

Do you have any credible documentation to support your conjecture that the Superliners cannot be kept alive for another ten years?
I expect the hardest part of keeping the superliner fleet going will be the MD-76 trucks. Keeping trucks going with limited parts supply is part of why heritage cars went away.
 
Do you have any credible documentation to support your conjecture that the Superliners cannot be kept alive for another ten years?

Of course there is the possibility that a massive number of them suddenly go irretrievably off line du to a series of serious accidents involving them. But absent that there is no reason to believe that trains would get shorter and indeed some will recover a bit of length as the last of the repair back orders come back on line over FY25.

Anyhow, I do think that it would have been better to get a tranche of essentially off the shelf "Surfliner"-like cars furnished appropriately for LD to back fill the Superliners that have disappeared from the original order while they worked on designing new next gen rolling stock. But apparently that would no longer be legal or something like that.
I trust you a lot, so I hope you're right. It just has been feeling the last few years that the equipment shortage is never-ending, and it's hard to imagine it'll get any better throughout the next 10 years. Heres to hoping the Superliners make it through.
 
They'll have spare dinning cars and sleepers so its then about LD coaches.
If that’s the case, when Airo cars come on line why not retrofit Amfleet I cars as Am II since the cars should have as long a life as Budd’s cars in Canada (sorry about the windows but passengers are ok with them now used as BC cars).

In addition to making the CONO single level, as suggested above, are there other candidates to free up more Superliners, perhaps the Heartland Flyer?
 
Early '30s starts at 2030. No need to take the most pessimistic narrative. Actually this is not new. The original timeline said the same thing as it appears in the RFP plan. 6 years to deployment is not completely off the scale for something that is far from off the shelf. It took Brightline a bit over 4 years to get their initial delivery. Of course no one noticed because their track was not quite ready yet, which again was as they planned since they knew they would have to do extensive testing to get FRA approval. And those cars were about as off the shelf as one can get. Standard European cars mapped to modified Tier I with CEM.

My understanding is that they have a concrete plan to keep the current fleet operational for at least10 years.
If they plan on getting deliveries starting in 2030 recent history tells us deliveries will actually start well after that.
 
They'll have spare dinning cars and sleepers so its then about LD coaches.


I expect the hardest part of keeping the superliner fleet going will be the MD-76 trucks. Keeping trucks going with limited parts supply is part of why heritage cars went away.
Are those the trucks on SL-1s? What are on SL-2s? Probably not able but could a different truck be applied to any of the present cars? Both single and 2 level cars?
 
Are those the trucks on SL-1s? What are on SL-2s? Probably not able but could a different truck be applied to any of the present cars? Both single and 2 level cars?
SL-2s are GSI as are all Viewliners.
 
Are those the trucks on SL-1s? What are on SL-2s? Probably not able but could a different truck be applied to any of the present cars? Both single and 2 level cars?
Yep. SL2 run on GSI 70T, same trucks found under viewliners, California cars, Surfliners and more. You could try a truck swap but its a lot of cost and work to do it. Especially in the modern regulatory state.
 
Perhaps this has been covered in another thread, but since Amtrak is short of SL equipment, why do they continue to lease cars to the California trains? I have seen numerous coaches and SSLs on trains up and down the coast. Did they sign long-term leases? If not, why not get them back?
 
They'll have spare dinning cars and sleepers so its then about LD coaches.


I expect the hardest part of keeping the superliner fleet going will be the MD-76 trucks. Keeping trucks going with limited parts supply is part of why heritage cars went away.
I thought the reason the Heritage cars went sway was the cost of installing retention toilets.
 
Perhaps this has been covered in another thread, but since Amtrak is short of SL equipment, why do they continue to lease cars to the California trains? I have seen numerous coaches and SSLs on trains up and down the coast. Did they sign long-term leases? If not, why not get them back?
There have been no additional new leases. The cars in the California fleet are long term leases from Amtrak, long enough to justify California paying for their repair from the back lot at Beech Grove. They are not about to give those up after paying to bring them back from dead.
 
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