The DC crew on the 22 SAS-CHI late last month acted like they didn't expect to be working much longer. ...
With several staunchly anti-rail folks already elected ... expect to see deeper and deeper cuts over time.
It's hard to predict, especially about the future. But I'm not quite so pessimistic.
The 2010 elections brought a lot of haters into Congress. Even so, the House's proposed cuts to Amtrak are stupid, but not massive nor fatal. If Amtrak survives without worse cuts until the 2016 elections, well, then it survives a few more years.
In 2017 the story line could change as the Stimulus projects come on line chiefly in Illinois, Michigan, and the Pacific Northwest, but also in NC and New England. Ridership will rise smartly along with positive media.
Meanwhile, despite the haters, the old rules of politics may still come to apply: Pressure will grow to fix the NEC, and I don't see investing a Billion in a new Portal bridge without investing another Billion elsewhere in the country. Maybe CAHSR could suck up a Billion easily, but that wouldn't solve the political imperative to spread the butter around. Amtrak directly may not get much cash, but if, for example, the SOTL project thru indiana moves ahead, and/or the corridor train St Paul-Milwaukee-Chicago gets funds, the whole system would benefit a from those upgraded corridors.
Meanwhile, the 175 shiny new bi-levels and the 25 shiny new Viewliners will do more than help the image. A daily
Cardinal would probably show good results. (We haven't heard a peep about what capital improvements there would cost, except that $200 million in Indiana would cut 30 minutes from its Chicago arrival time.) And it's rumored that the Eastern trains will get Wi-Fi soonish. In a few years, the Eastern trains are probably going to be close to break-even as a group, and they'll be safe.
The Western LD trains do appear to be at risk. But the most interesting thing about the ruckus over movng the
Southwest Chief to the Transcon route was that there was such a
ruckus in Kansas and Colorado. Apparently enuff heat to get politicians on board to prevent the discontinuance. Now even Gov Martinez in NM is trying to get herself into the picture as helping to save the train. If the haters can't kill off or even reroute one relatively weak LD train, can they kill them all off at once? Won't the citizens rally to keep them?
Be nice to think that staffing changes on the
Texas Eagle are coming down the track because a daily
Eagle/Sunset is on its way.