Matthew H Fish
Lead Service Attendant
- Joined
- May 28, 2019
- Messages
- 499
I've mentioned this concept a few times in the past, but I got the idea to do some research and make a post about it specifically.
The word "rural" gets used a lot, so often that it isn't always useful, because for people from different areas of the country, rural can mean very different things. If you are from New York City, Poughkeepsie is a tiny, distant rural hamlet. And if you are from Lakeview, Oregon, Klamath Falls is a towering metropolis.
About a dozen years or so ago, the statistics arm of the USDA decided to make a formal definition of the most rural areas of the country: Frontier and Remote, which is defined by the USDA as areas that are more than an hour by car from the border of a metropolitan area of at least 50,000 people.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/frontier-and-remote-area-codes/Using this definition, which is pretty strict (most people in NYC or LA, for example, would not consider a city of 75,000 to be a "metropolis"), there are 12.2 million people in the US, at last count, or around 3% of the population, that live in these areas.
But the reason I am talking about it here is that I wondered how many Amtrak train stations were in those areas, and how much of Amtrak's riderships they represented.
Of Amtrak's 500+ stations, 43 of them are located in FAR areas. As could be imagined, long distance routes in the west account for the majority of these, although there are also stations in FAR territory in Mississippi, Vermont and New Hampshire. Many of these stations have very few passengers (including the least used station in the network, Sanderson, Texas), but some of them, such as Whitefish, Montana, are quite busy. Added together, the stations account for 1% of Amtrak's passenger rides (in 2019). This seems like a small number, but since the entire population of all FAR areas is only around 3%, and these stations represent only a small percentage of the FAR territory, they actually represent a disproportionate share of Amtrak's ridership. (Although in many cases, those stations are not primarily serving residents.)
There are a lot of technical questions about the methodology that determines what areas are "FAR", but even if we have a few questions (Chemult isn't FAR??), the basic idea seems to be a good one.
My central thesis would be that for train passengers, the two parts of the country are the most urban and the most rural. In areas like the NEC, economies of scale make trains very convenient. And in areas like the Highline, train travel is indispensable---passengers need it to access basic needs. But Amtrak seems to be the least popular in the middle. If you are in a small metropolis, while you might have limited access to certain cultural experiences, but you don't need to travel to access basic goods. If you live in Toledo, Ohio, travel isn't convenient or absolutely necessary.
(I just realized I can't attach spreadsheets to this thread)
Does any of that make any sense? Even if there are exceptions or questions, does the basic idea make sense?
The word "rural" gets used a lot, so often that it isn't always useful, because for people from different areas of the country, rural can mean very different things. If you are from New York City, Poughkeepsie is a tiny, distant rural hamlet. And if you are from Lakeview, Oregon, Klamath Falls is a towering metropolis.
About a dozen years or so ago, the statistics arm of the USDA decided to make a formal definition of the most rural areas of the country: Frontier and Remote, which is defined by the USDA as areas that are more than an hour by car from the border of a metropolitan area of at least 50,000 people.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/frontier-and-remote-area-codes/Using this definition, which is pretty strict (most people in NYC or LA, for example, would not consider a city of 75,000 to be a "metropolis"), there are 12.2 million people in the US, at last count, or around 3% of the population, that live in these areas.
But the reason I am talking about it here is that I wondered how many Amtrak train stations were in those areas, and how much of Amtrak's riderships they represented.
Of Amtrak's 500+ stations, 43 of them are located in FAR areas. As could be imagined, long distance routes in the west account for the majority of these, although there are also stations in FAR territory in Mississippi, Vermont and New Hampshire. Many of these stations have very few passengers (including the least used station in the network, Sanderson, Texas), but some of them, such as Whitefish, Montana, are quite busy. Added together, the stations account for 1% of Amtrak's passenger rides (in 2019). This seems like a small number, but since the entire population of all FAR areas is only around 3%, and these stations represent only a small percentage of the FAR territory, they actually represent a disproportionate share of Amtrak's ridership. (Although in many cases, those stations are not primarily serving residents.)
There are a lot of technical questions about the methodology that determines what areas are "FAR", but even if we have a few questions (Chemult isn't FAR??), the basic idea seems to be a good one.
My central thesis would be that for train passengers, the two parts of the country are the most urban and the most rural. In areas like the NEC, economies of scale make trains very convenient. And in areas like the Highline, train travel is indispensable---passengers need it to access basic needs. But Amtrak seems to be the least popular in the middle. If you are in a small metropolis, while you might have limited access to certain cultural experiences, but you don't need to travel to access basic goods. If you live in Toledo, Ohio, travel isn't convenient or absolutely necessary.
(I just realized I can't attach spreadsheets to this thread)
Does any of that make any sense? Even if there are exceptions or questions, does the basic idea make sense?