The next question is how many of the proposals will actually be deemed *viable*. (These are just proposals, not bids.)
I'm guessing everything but Amtrak will be rejected due to inability to negotiate a path into Chicago with the Class Is. Seriously, Amtrak is the only operator with the ability to wangle a route from Dyer to Chicago.
In short, this is going to turn out to be a goofy sideshow and when it's over we'll be back pretty close to where we started. INDOT will spend several years relearning something which we all know, and which every state DOT which is serious about passenger rail knows by now: it's not the trains which are the hard part, it's the tracks.
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Well, I forgot something: Indiana was considering proposals other than actual operations.
Iowa Pacific and Herzog may be making actual "operations" proposals. But Herzog has no experience dealing with Class Is; Herzog contracts to operate state-owned lines. I suppose that there's an outside chance that Iowa Pacific could pull off the negotiations with UP and CSX.
The request put out by the state in early April allowed bidders to submit proposals for everything from operating the train and route in its entirety to simply providing services on the trains like Wi-Fi or food and beverage.
So. Suppose that we assume that any proposal which actually proposes to operate the route is DOA, due to the aforementioned problem of negotiating with CSX, UP, Metra, and perhaps CN and others.
Amtrak will not permit the proposers to offer food and beverage as it will create union troubles. Amtrak is already providing WiFi. So such small proposals are also DOA.
PTS is a bus company. It's possible that PTS is proposing some sort of improved coordinated Thruway bus service. This is quite possibly viable, Amtrak would probably agree to it, and probably Indiana would go for it. More depressingly, this being Indiana, the proposal might be to completely bustitute the route.
The most likely remaining proposal is simply to sell or lease some railcars to Indiana, and perhaps to maintain them. With Amtrak continuing to run operations, entirely. Amtrak has been OK with such deals in the past, and it does free up rolling stock which is in short supply. This is probably what Corridor Capital is proposing. Maybe Indiana will bite.
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Railmark is an interesting source of proposals. Judging by their business, perhaps the most likely proposal they could make would be:
- state of Indiana purchases track from CSX
- Railmark maintains it for much faster speeds than currently
That would be kind of awesome, but I sadly doubt Indiana would go for it.