What doesn’t jive? The accurate departure time is recorded and if the train takes a delay between there and your house, it takes more than 22 minutes to get there.
Well as for my house (MM 527-BNSF Brush Sub) when the "trackers" show ON TIME at 19:10 from DUS they can pass by at 19:32 when no slow downs or stops. It was rare but has happened. Median time (showing departing on time) passing me was 19:38 from 06/30/2017-10/06/2018 when I was able to monitor daily.