Speculation about remaining life of Superliners

[AFriendly]

I might be ignorant of all the limiting factors, but the average lifespan of a passenger railcar in the US has been about 50 years. VIA has squeezed even more out of the all-stainless Budd cars they inherited from Canadian Pacific, albeit their operations are on a vastly smaller scale and some US commuter operators have also strung along for longer than 50 years. The time span from the entry into service of the Superliner Is (1980) plus 50 years takes us to 2030 so it seems reasonable to me to expect to be able to get them to hang on that long. Superliner IIs can be expected theoretically to be good until at least 2041. I expect to see Superliner I's being subject to increasing cannibalization, and perhaps some creative stopgaps such as Horizons and perhaps even Amfleets being pressed into long-distance service. Gardiner seems to have been communicating the expectation upper management has, whether it is realistic or not is something I'm not qualified to answer.

 

[Maglev]

It is my understanding that the maintainability of Superliners is an order of magnitude better than Budd cars, so their life may be much greater than 50 years (although indeed the Superliner I trucks may be problematic). Tasks which take weeks on Budd cars take days on Superliners. I have always assumed the Superliners would go to Canada after Amtrak is done with them.

It would be really nice to do something about that grungy carpet on the walls of the Superliner II's if we need to live with them for 10 or more years. The Acelas were refurbished even though their replacement was only a few years away. I rode the Texas Eagle in Superliner II number 32112, which had the carpet replaced but no other renovation, and I think this is an easy fix.

I call this picture "Sunset on the Sunset Limited," even though I was technically on the Eagle. It shows the carpeting replaced with faux wood in sleeper 32112 (January, 2019):

 

[PaTrainFan]

No question more needs to be done to the SLs to make them aesthetically appealing as they age. The refresh to the seating and bedding was a decent start but that wall carpeting in the VLIIs is just plain gross. It can't be a ridiculously expensive or difficult task to replace that.

 

[Railspike]

There have been no additional new leases. The cars in the California fleet are long term leases from Amtrak, long enough to justify California paying for their repair from the back lot at Beech Grove. They are not about to give those up after paying to bring them back from dead.

got it

 

[cocojacoby]

got it

Any idea of how long these leases are for and when they expire?

 

[GDRRiley]

Perhaps this has been covered in another thread, but since Amtrak is short of SL equipment, why do they continue to lease cars to the California trains? I have seen numerous coaches and SSLs on trains up and down the coast. Did they sign long-term leases? If not, why not get them back?

CA has 11 coaches and 1 sightseer car down from ~20 coaches, 4 coach baggage and 1 sightseer along with 20 horizons.

There have been no additional new leases. The cars in the California fleet are long term leases from Amtrak, long enough to justify California paying for their repair from the back lot at Beech Grove. They are not about to give those up after paying to bring them back from dead.

CA might lease some more horzions and CA returned 1 superliner coach it rebuilt in 2021 after but yeah we paid to rebuild them when amtrak couldn't/wouldn't so we've got rights to them.