My point was and remains that using your own phrasing they already are the dominant player. Unless a dramatic shift in economics that cancels those orders happens. Siemens is likely to remain top dog for decades. I mean on top of the Venture orders they also have Brightline west plans using the Siemens Velaro Novo HSR EMUs which if California HSR follows suit could push them over a thousand units as “western Acela” services materialize.
Monopoly is the question.
Now if they get the LD contract that would certainly give them a virtual monopoly on intercity however at the same time it’s not a done deal. We have yet to see any release of response from the RFI though it seems hard to imagine bids that can match potential of Siemens. As they already meet American rail safety and with a second facility under build they may have the capacity when the time comes.
Many have pointed at the nightjet mk2 train sets as a proof of concept sets which uses Viagio rolling stock from which Venture family is derived. The family also has modern bi level coaches in sleeper services which might 1:1 a Superliner.
The only other proven family of sleepers I can think of would be CAF with the British/Scottish Caledonia sleeper.
However the BR Mk5A rolling stock has yet to be proven on American rails. Though Via might consider it if they don’t like what Amtrak wants. Yet given that Via and Amtrak seem to have launched the replacement programs in lock step CAF would likely have to clean sheet a new family of cars that meet US FRA requirements. The same for just about any other foreign makers. Japanese and Asian sleeper cars fall into the same issues, they haven’t been rated to American FRA safety, on top of most being EMU/DMU/DEMU not push pull.
I mean Bilevel commuter coaches exist but they are normally derivative of the Superliner already. Which given the failure of the Next generation Bi level car doesn’t seem like an option.
Stadler makes a bilevel coach for the Rocky Mountaineer but at almost 20 foot tall well it wouldn’t have issues for head space in upper bunks it would be quite difficult to imagine it even pulling into Chicago Union Station the hub of the US LD fleet. They also have built for Georgia a new sleeper train set but again that’s Georgia the country not the US State.
So Siemens Viagio/Venture seems the easiest solution because the base family has already been translated to meet US compliance. The only steps then would be adapting the Venture side of the family to American LD sleeper accommodations. Where just about any other potential bid has to basically start with a clean sheet.
Monopoly is the question.
Now if they get the LD contract that would certainly give them a virtual monopoly on intercity however at the same time it’s not a done deal. We have yet to see any release of response from the RFI though it seems hard to imagine bids that can match potential of Siemens. As they already meet American rail safety and with a second facility under build they may have the capacity when the time comes.
Many have pointed at the nightjet mk2 train sets as a proof of concept sets which uses Viagio rolling stock from which Venture family is derived. The family also has modern bi level coaches in sleeper services which might 1:1 a Superliner.
The only other proven family of sleepers I can think of would be CAF with the British/Scottish Caledonia sleeper.
However the BR Mk5A rolling stock has yet to be proven on American rails. Though Via might consider it if they don’t like what Amtrak wants. Yet given that Via and Amtrak seem to have launched the replacement programs in lock step CAF would likely have to clean sheet a new family of cars that meet US FRA requirements. The same for just about any other foreign makers. Japanese and Asian sleeper cars fall into the same issues, they haven’t been rated to American FRA safety, on top of most being EMU/DMU/DEMU not push pull.
I mean Bilevel commuter coaches exist but they are normally derivative of the Superliner already. Which given the failure of the Next generation Bi level car doesn’t seem like an option.
Stadler makes a bilevel coach for the Rocky Mountaineer but at almost 20 foot tall well it wouldn’t have issues for head space in upper bunks it would be quite difficult to imagine it even pulling into Chicago Union Station the hub of the US LD fleet. They also have built for Georgia a new sleeper train set but again that’s Georgia the country not the US State.
So Siemens Viagio/Venture seems the easiest solution because the base family has already been translated to meet US compliance. The only steps then would be adapting the Venture side of the family to American LD sleeper accommodations. Where just about any other potential bid has to basically start with a clean sheet.